Author: bushsyadmin

  • Customer Concentration Kills Valuation: How to Quantify and Fix the Discount

    I learned this lesson the hard way in my early years of business. One client paid nearly half my bills. I told myself that was loyalty. Then that client walked and my revenue dropped off a cliff. That experience changed how I think about risk. In the gym, I never loaded one side of the barbell heavier than the other. Business works the same way. Too much weight in one spot and the whole thing tips over.

    What Customer Concentration Actually Does to Valuation

    Buyers price risk. When one customer brings in 30 to 50 percent of your revenue, any serious acquirer sees fragility, not stability. That fragility shows up as a valuation discount.

    Here is the rough math I use with owners.

    • The 10 percent threshold. Most buyers start asking hard questions once a single client tops 10 percent of revenue.

    • The 25 percent cliff. Above a quarter of revenue, expect a discount of 15 to 30 percent on the multiple.

    • The 50 percent problem. Past half, some buyers walk away entirely. The rest price you like a contract worker, not a company.

    Quick example. Say your business earns one million in EBITDA and similar firms sell for 6x. A 20 percent concentration discount cuts the multiple to roughly 4.8x. That is 1.2 million gone. The customer did not change. The story did.

    How to Quantify the Discount Before a Buyer Does

    Run this audit quarterly. It takes an afternoon.

    1. List every customer’s revenue share for the last 12 months.

    2. Flag anyone above 10 percent.

    3. Add up the top three clients. If they exceed 40 percent of revenue, you have a real problem.

    4. Check contract terms. Month to month arrangements widen the discount.

    5. Ask yourself honestly: if your biggest client left tomorrow, how long would you last?

    That last question stings. Answer it anyway. Numbers you avoid are numbers that hurt you.

    Fixing It Without Blowing Up Revenue

    Shrinking your biggest client on purpose is not the play. Growing everything else is. A few moves that work:

    • Build a growth pipeline aimed at new logos, not just bigger orders from existing ones. Target 15 to 20 new accounts a year.

    • Lock your anchor client into a multi-year contract with clear pricing. Stability reduces the discount even when concentration stays high.

    • Fire the worst small clients and reinvest that energy into mid-size prospects. Ten clients at 3 percent each beats one at 30.

    • Track concentration monthly like you track your key performance indicators. What gets measured gets managed.

    Start with your number. If it sits above 20 percent, you have work to do. It is boring, steady effort. That is the kind of effort that builds real value. No shortcuts. Just consistent reps.

  • Valuing a Business for Divorce: Why Your Salary Add-Back Changes Everything

    The Number That Surprised Me More Than My First Competition

    I still remember standing in a cramped conference room, years of discipline telling me to stay calm while a forensic accountant flipped through my company’s financials like a detective with a grudge. Divorce does that. It strips away the noise and forces you to look at numbers the way you once looked at a loaded barbell: honestly, or not at all.

    Here’s the part nobody warned me about. The salary I paid myself wasn’t the victory I thought it was.

    What a Salary Add-Back Actually Means

    Quick breakdown for anyone new to this:

    • Add-back = money the owner paid themselves that gets added back onto the business’s profits during valuation

    • The logic: a buyer would replace you with a hired manager, so your compensation gets “normalized” to market rate

    • The gap between what you pay yourself and what a manager would cost is the add-back

    • That adjusted profit figure often drives the entire valuation

    Sounds tidy on paper. In practice? It’s where things get spicy.

    Why Paying Myself Less Wasn’t the Flex I Thought

    I ran a lean operation. Modest salary, profits staying in the business, reinvesting like a madman. Felt smart. Felt disciplined.

    Then the valuation came back. The court looked at my below-market salary and said, essentially: “Cool, so the business actually generates more profit than the books show.” Add-back goes up. Business value goes up. Settlement exposure goes up.

    I sat there doing mental math and felt like I’d been hit with a clean liver shot. The discipline I was proud of became the exact thing working against me. Brutal lesson, honestly.

    A Quick Numbers Picture

    Say you pay yourself $60,000 but a replacement manager runs $120,000. That $60,000 gap lands on the profit line. Multiply by a valuation multiple of 3x and you’ve just added $180,000 of business value. From one line item. One. Not a typo.

    The Flip Side Nobody Talks About

    Pay yourself above market? Now the add-back cuts the other way. The valuation drops. Suddenly your divorce attorney is your biggest fan and opposing counsel is frowning at the paperwork.

    But here’s the catch. Salary games get scrutinized hard. Courts and forensic accountants have seen every trick in the book. Faking a compensation structure right before a divorce is the financial equivalent of skipping leg day and bragging about your squat. People notice.

    What I’d Tell Anyone Facing This

    Three things, short and sharp:

    1. Get your compensation benchmarked early. Before filings, before negotiations. Know the market rate for your role.

    2. Understand your multiplier. A small add-back times a big multiple equals a big problem.

    3. Document everything. Bonuses, distributions, perks. Clean records beat clever stories every single time.

    The Takeaway

    Business valuation in divorce isn’t about what you earn. It’s about what the business earns after your salary gets normalized. That distinction cost me sleep, money, and a few choice words in a parking lot.

    Do the prep work. Ask the uncomfortable questions. And please, don’t learn this lesson the way I did.

  • How to Find the Right SDE Multiple for Your Industry (and Stop Guessing Your Business Value)

    Let me tell you something that took me years to learn in the gym and even longer in business: guessing is not a strategy. Back in the day, I watched guys load up plates based on what felt right. They’d slap on two forty-fives because the bar looked impressive, not because the math supported it. Know what happened? Stalled reps, blown backs, wasted years. Valuing a business works the same way. If you’re picking an SDE multiple out of thin air, you’re the guy guessing at the rack.

    So let’s fix that.

    What an SDE Multiple Actually Tells You

    SDE stands for Seller’s Discretionary Earnings. It’s your net profit plus add-backs like owner salary, one-time expenses, and those “personal” charges that somehow ended up on the company card. No judgment. We’ve all been there.

    The multiple is simply the number buyers apply to that earnings figure to arrive at a price. A 3x multiple on $400K SDE means a $1.2M valuation. Simple math. The tricky part is knowing which multiple your industry commands, and why.

    Why Industry Matters More Than You Think

    A SaaS company with recurring revenue might pull 5x to 7x. A landscaping business with a truck fleet and thin margins? Often 2x to 3x. Same earnings, wildly different prices. Buyers pay for risk, transferability, and recurring revenue.

    Three factors drive your multiple:

    1. Recurring revenue. Predictable income earns premium multiples.

    2. Owner dependence. If the business falls apart without you, buyers discount hard.

    3. Customer concentration. One client at 40 percent of revenue is a red flag.

    The Practical Playbook for Finding Your Multiple

    Here’s the process I’d run if I were selling tomorrow.

    1. Pull comparable sales data. Industry brokers, trade associations, and business sale databases publish real transaction multiples. Not listings. Actual closed deals.

    2. Segment by size. A $200K SDE business and a $2M SDE business in the same industry often trade at different multiples. Buyers of small deals accept more risk, so multiples compress.

    3. Adjust for your strengths. Strong management team? Documented systems? Diversified customers? You’ve earned a bump above the industry median.

    4. Sanity check with buyers. Talk to two or three acquisition-minded folks in your space. Ask what multiple they’d apply and why. Their answers will teach you more than any spreadsheet.

    The Mistakes That Cost You Real Money

    I’ve seen owners anchor to a number they heard at a conference and refuse to budge. Pride is expensive. Here’s what to avoid:

    • Using asking prices instead of closed sale data

    • Ignoring working capital and asset adjustments

    • Forgetting that add-backs get scrutinized hard during due diligence

    • Assuming your multiple matches the guy down the street with twice your revenue

    One more thing. Get a professional valuation before you list. It costs a few grand and routinely saves sellers six figures in negotiation blunders. That’s the best return you’ll find anywhere.

    Stop Guessing and Start Pricing

    Your business value isn’t a feeling. It’s a number built from earnings, risk, and market reality. Find your industry’s range, adjust for your specific strengths and weaknesses, and validate with real buyers. Do that work and you walk into negotiations with your feet planted. No guesswork. No ego lifting. Just solid, defensible math.

    Now go put in the reps.